4 January, 2008 (07:47) | Uncategorized | By: soren
Cross-post from Redstate. I am posting there primarily, but I will try to cross-post here more.
Mike Huckabee’s stunning victory in Iowa will have a number of consequences in New Hampshire, where I am now. Last night John McCain flew from Iowa to New Hampshire for his caucus-watching party. At the same time, Rudy Giuliani left [...]
Tags: Huckabee, Iowa, McCain, New Hampshire, Romney
Comments: -
30 December, 2007 (22:02) | Uncategorized | By: soren
Fred Thompson seems to be throwing himself under the bus. From ABC in Iowa:
By declaring that he needs to do better than he’s polled for months, Thompson risks setting a bar so high for himself that a third-place victory — which would be something of an achievement for his struggling campaign — is a self-imposed [...]
Tags: Fred Thompson, Iowa
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30 December, 2007 (01:49) | Uncategorized | By: soren
But it sure is interesting:
OTTUMWA, Iowa–Last night, I attended a Mike Hucabee event at the Bridge View Center here and made the conservative estimate that he drew a crowd of 400 to 500 inside an auditorium that held 650. When I noticed that Mitt Romney had an event at the same place this [...]
Tags: Huckabee, Iowa, Romney
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29 December, 2007 (13:34) | Uncategorized | By: soren
Trust Huckabee, the somewhat controversial pro-Huckabee 501(c)(4), has gone up on the air with a pro-Huckabee ad and launched an anti-Romney site.
No news yet about the size of the buy. It does strike me that, at this point, Mike Huckabee is more likely to lose votes to someone else than to Romney. Romney’s ads probably [...]
Tags: Huckabee, Iowa, Life, Romney
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20 December, 2007 (01:54) | Uncategorized | By: soren
UPDATE: Marc Ambinder hears interesting whispers on this endorsement:
Will he endorse? Unclear. If he does, the betting is on Thompson or Romney, although advisers to both men expect the other to get it, if it’s gettable. Note that Bay Buchanan is a member of the LDS church and is said to be pushing Tancredo to [...]
Tags: Endorsements, Fred Thompson, Immigration, Iowa, Romney
Comments: 1
20 December, 2007 (01:34) | Uncategorized | By: soren
When citing bad news for your opponents, don’t use junk polls.
Tags: Iowa, Polls
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18 December, 2007 (07:46) | Uncategorized | By: soren
First, I want to say that I have no problem with what I am about to talk about, and I am not alleging anything conspiratorial. In politics, affinity groups are affinity groups and great things. Barack Obama will do better among African-Americans than other candidates. Joe Lieberman got huge electoral and financial turnout from Jews. [...]
Tags: Iowa, Religion, Romney
Comments: 11
17 December, 2007 (17:51) | Uncategorized | By: soren
New ads are up. The verdict is in. Huck wins the exchange. I do agree that the crime and ethics issues are what ought to hurt Mike Huckabee.
One of the big questions was how people were going to handle ads around Christmas. Huckabee has managed to come up with an ad that can run the [...]
Tags: Huckabee, Iowa, Romney
Comments: 1
15 December, 2007 (23:55) | Media | By: soren
The Des Moines Register and the Boston Globe endorsed John McCain today. The Register’s key quotes:
Yet, for all their accomplishments on smaller stages, none can offer the tested leadership, in matters foreign and domestic, of Sen. John McCain of Arizona. McCain is most ready to lead America in a complex and dangerous world and to [...]
Tags: Endorsements, Iowa, McCain, Media
Comments: 2
13 December, 2007 (18:30) | Uncategorized | By: soren
I think that the only question left in Iowa is whether these attacks work. If this kind of thing sticks, then it is lights out for Mike Huckabee.
If it doesn’t then this guy wins Iowa and is looking might fine.
For more background, go here. The soft-on-crime meme could sit.
On the other hand, Iowa could [...]
Tags: Huckabee, Iowa
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