Merely an aggregation of a dispersed life online
Last night, I was really struck by Mike Huckabee’s language on economics. Let’s go to the transcript for a moment:
Mr. Huckabee: The real fact is, unions are going to take a more prominent role in the future for one simple reason: A lot of American workers are finding that their wages continue to get strapped [...]
Why is John Edwards running such a lame ad? Is a message too expensive?
John Edwards: He also said the United States should ban the construction of new coal-fired power plants. There are some good swing swing states on that list…
A professor at the University of New Hampshire has an interesting op-ed in today’s WaPo about the New Hampshire Primary and the recent shift of the primary schedule by the Democrats. A lot of attention has been focused on the racial/diversity issue, which was the argument that the DNC used to move up Nevada. But [...]
H/T to Greg Mankiw for the analysis.
The GOP markets at Tradesport only have McCain and Giuiliani, so I don’t think that they are very meaningful. But Mankiw points out what is interesting about the Democrat ones:
[W]e can obtain for each candidate the conditional probability–the probability that the person will win the general election if nominated. [...]
GOP side:
John McCain: 24%
Rudy Giuiliani and Condi Rice: 20%
Newt Gingrich: 10%
Dem side:
Hillary Clinton and John Edwards tied at 34%
Vilsack third.
Upshot: McCain is still the front runner. And Hillary just can’t go that high, we think.
What I’m writing