WSJ’s knife in the heart of Romney’s base

Mitt Romney’s voters are upper-middle class. The kinds of people who read the Wall Street Journal. Today the Journal attempted an assist. On the top of the page was a piece entitled "McCain’s promise" with the pull-quote:

It is cruel to compare the senator to most of his Republican competitors.

The next story on the page was "The New New Mitt" with the pull-quote:

New Hampshire voters know Romney’s record better than most. That could spell trouble.

That’s a clear message from the news source of the management and business class that Mitt Romney is not their guy, and John McCain is.

That’s gotta hurt.

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Final NH debate

I think that Mitt Romney and John McCain did fine. Romney did much better than last night. McCain was more low-key and seemed dignified. Once again, Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson played interference.

I really doubt that this moved the ball too much.

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Huckabee’s support more than Southern Evangelicals?

(cross-posted from Redstate)

I just finished a Mitt Romney townhall in Nashua, NH. He had around 400 people, according to the campaign. I had just come from a similar event in Windham, just down the road, where Mike Huckabee had over 600. The Huckabee event clearly had more energy than the Romney event.

One of the questions in this race is whether Mike Huckabee has a base of support beyond southern Evangelicals. Well, I found an Orthodox Jewish State Rep., Jason Bedrick. Watch Jason explain why he supports Huckabee. He also said that Huckabee could bring Reagan Democrats back to the party. Reagan did it by using cultural values and economic populism to cut into traditionally Democratic ethnic voting blocs … like culturally conservative northeastern Jews. Could Huckabee?

If this energy is indicative, Rudy Giuliani could be in trouble. One reporter described his events to me as "intimate."

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links for 2008-01-06

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When you know that they know

(crossposted from Redstate Redhot)

Two facts captured for me how Mitt Romney’s campaign perceived his debate performance.

First, only two surrogates were in the spin room: Tom Tancredo and Bay Buchanan. None of the national surrogates in town. No Senator Judd Gregg, Romney New Hampshire campaign chairman. Where was Judd?

That leads me to my second fact. Judd Gregg was the first person to leave the debate. The first one. Not the second. The first.

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McCain wins

The test of a debate is what is fixated in people’s heads. Those moments will be, almost certainly, the attacks on Mitt Romney.

John McCain just needed to tread water. Not only did he do that, but he looked dignified except for, perhaps, going a little too far on poking Romney once.

Fred Thompson ended up sounding like the conservative voice on the stage. If McCain wins on Tuesday, conservatives are going to need some place to go. Fred will compete for that. His goal tonight was to be that voice. He accomplished.

Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee sounded fine.

Romney cratered.

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McCain’s Peterborogh Townhall: “The Mac is Back”

(Crossposted from Redstate)

From 2008-01, NH

I just got to a computer after John McCain’s most recent townhall in Peterborough in western New Hampshire. Peterborough was the location of McCain’s famous 2000 town hall meeting that become a cover-story in Time Magazine.

This year, it was McCain’s 100th town hall in New Hampshire. Apparently 750 showed up to standing-room only. 150 more were turned away by the fire marshall. Ramesh was there. So was Phil.

Read on.

So was CBN’s David Brody, who should have some great video. But here’s what he blogged:

I’m on the ground here at a John McCain town hall meeting in Peterborough, New Hampshire. Folks, he may be 71 years old but here in New Hampshire, he has the energy of a 21 year old. I have covered John McCain throughout 2007 and I must say, he’s never been so on fire and red hot as now. The crowd here is overflowing out the door. The McCain bus had a hard time getting up the street because of all the people flowing in. …

John McCain has always been at his best when he’s unplugged. Well, let me just confirm that he is not only unplugged, he is on fire. Romney needs to watch out. Huckabee needs to watch out. John McCain just may take this enthusiasm in New Hampshire and become the ultimate “Comeback Kid”.

There were questions (Iraq, global warming, health care, AIDS in Africa, etc.) But the real story was the energy. A lot of it.

It appears that something may be happening. The Concord Monitor has a new poll out with McCain up 6. If this energy continues the Mac may well be back.

With that, I go to NRO’s event and then the debate. Details will follow.

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A Romney NH townhall

(Crossposted from Redstate)

Last night I attended a Mitt Romney townhall in Manchester, New Hampshire. The Politico’s Jonathan Martin has a report from the event.

Several things struck me getting to the event. First, it was packed. Probably 250 or so people. Given the time and place, downtown Manchester on a Friday night, this is good but not surprising. Second, unlike Rudy Giuliani and John McCain’s events, the audience was mostly upper middle class, which as Fred Barnes has noticed, seems to be Romney’s electoral base.

Read on after the jump.

As the event progressed it became clear that this is probably the "best organized" event. People with signs in all the right places. Well timed. Kevin Madden, the national press secretary, chatting up the reporters. Probably a better organized stump speech. Etc. Political theater at its technical finest. Romney was introduced by his wife who gave, of course, a glowing introduction about one of the 5 sons (Matt, I think) and 2 of his kids.

At that point Anne, Matt, and the two grandkids stepped over the velvet rope that surrounded Romney and sat down. In the picture above you can see the rope. This rope was a marked contrast with McCain and Giuliani who frequently offered their microphones to people in front row.

Romney’s stump speech hit all his new themes. Washington is the problem, not the President or the White House. That he can bring change. "It’s going to take someone there who knows how to change things."

Given the audience, he spent a lot of time on taxes. He talked about the previous administration (a Republican) raising taxes (is this true?) by $b, while he didn’t. Of course, he raised revenue $700m by raising fees. But….

A voter asked "the Mormon question." It wasn’t actually the mormon question so much as the "Baptist question" as she clarified later. She said that she was tempted to vote for Huckabee because she understands him and shares his values, while she sees that Romney is a strong candidate. Romney gave his typical answer to applause. (I would note Medved’s piece about the Mormon thing not really being a problem in Iowa)

Perhaps the most interesting quote form that was, "if we made differences based on religion, we would end up looking like Shia and Sunni." I thought that was a little excessive, but…

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links for 2008-01-05

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That’s an awful lot of money

(Crosspost from Redstate)

Byron York learned today:

I talked to a station official who told me that Mitt Romney was WHO’s second biggest advertiser in 2007. Second biggest – behind the number-one advertiser, Monsanto farm chemicals, and ahead of the number-three advertiser, Bayer farm chemicals. WHO is by far the biggest radio station in Iowa,

Compare to New Hampshire. The Granite Prof tells us that Mitt Romney has spent nearly $4m on WMUR, the main New Hampshire TV station. By contrast, that is slightly more than Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama combined. More than the entire GOP field combined, outspending his nearest opponent, John McCain nearly 4-1. I am in New Hampshire right now. In 5 days, I have seen exactly 2 positive ads by Romney, and about 20 negative.

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