October 26, 2007 – 5:38 pm
Mickey Kaus doesn’t buy John McCain’s new position on immigration:
I’m continually amazed by the Cheap Date Conservatives I run into who think McCain has somehow convincingly changed on immigration.
How does this not apply to the entire field? This seems to reflect something about the base. What McCain is doing is pretty clear. He is […]
October 26, 2007 – 12:48 pm
Monday night, I am going to the book Launch for the latest Newt Gingrich book. A Contract with the Earth. I think this is a big deal. Once Newt takes a position, it becomes part of the mainstream in the GOP. Not in the sense that people will start to agree with you. But instead […]
October 24, 2007 – 9:14 pm
I have been thinking a lot about the race, and not writing so much. There are plenty of theories about what is going on and what is going to happen. Rather than make predictions, let me ask questions.
First, the most important question is probably going to be the relative dates of Iowa, New Hampshire, and […]
October 24, 2007 – 2:55 pm
A friend of mine is a lobbyist. He was on the Hill and asked a bunch of GOP members what they thought. Their position was basically:
This is a blue state problem and the people affected are going to vote Democrat anyway
Moral Hazard arguments and federal gov’t should not intervene
taxpayers should not bail out speculators
This […]
October 22, 2007 – 5:30 pm
Ummm. Not so much. Why?
Well, first, listen to Mike Duncan’s lukewarm statement, as reported by Jonathan Martin:
Letters went out this morning warning New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina, Michigan and Wyoming that they were "on notice," Duncan said in a conference call with reporters.
Duncan did, though, emphasize that the move was a preliminary one. ""We always believe in […]
October 21, 2007 – 9:44 pm
Well, McCain’s lines dominated the debate:
Putin
Tied up
To Romney about "fooling people about your record."
"Lead"
I posted my notes, and I am having trouble finding other things that struck me deeply. Giuliani did well on Hillary’s spending and teachers.
Thompson was certainly more lively, and he had a nice closing.
My hunch is that McCain wins. We’ll see […]
October 21, 2007 – 9:16 pm
It seems that John McCain and Rudy Giuliani are on. MItt Romney is struggling (although Hugh Hewitt has probably already writing his post for Romney’s victory) and I am not inspired by Fred Thompson.
Mike Huckabee’s new Buchananite turn, which I predicted, is alarming me a lot.
It seems quite likely that the quotes of the night […]
October 21, 2007 – 8:43 pm
They ask Romney about his liberalism and 1994. He dodges. He won’t talk about his past.
Thompson cracks jokes at Kennedy’s expense. He gets to talk about his details. Then he whacks at Rudy on abortion, immigration, and gun control.
Rudy says, "Fred has his problems too. Fred was the single biggest obstacle to tort reform in […]
October 16, 2007 – 8:04 pm
There have been whispers for a while that there could be a December primary. Roger Simon now argues that it is increasingly likely that there could be a December 11th primary in New Hampshire.
On the Democratic side, that seems to favor Hillary Clinton. She is up some silly amount in NH. She is +20 in […]
October 15, 2007 – 12:02 pm
John Fund wrote about the future of 20% of the US Economy and over 10% of the population:
Tony Quinn, co-editor of the California Target Book, a nonpartisan analysis of state politics, says that if Democrats retake the governorship after Mr. Schwarzenegger’s departure in 2010, it’s "pretty clear" that they would use their control of the […]
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