January 9, 2008 – 1:48 am
Matt Dabrowski, a pollster and a reader, sent in a letter about what happened with the broken polling in New Hampshire
Just yesterday, some major media polls showed Barack Obama with a 10-point lead over Hillary Clinton. But Clinton won the New Hampshire primary by at least 3%. At the same time, John McCain posted […]
December 22, 2007 – 3:29 pm
Core Favorability/Opposition Among All Voters
Candidate
Def. FOR
Def. AGAINST
Net
Obama
29%
36%
-7
McCain
22%
33%
-11
Huckabee
21%
34%
-13
Thompson
21%
34%
-13
Edwards
[…]
December 20, 2007 – 1:34 am
When citing bad news for your opponents, don’t use junk polls.
Tags: Iowa, Polls
November 13, 2007 – 11:47 am
The LA Times reminds us the most important number in the recent NH polls:
But that’s not the most important data in this survey.
What’s most important is the little-noticed numbers revealing that with slightly less than two months to go before the voting, 48% of Democrats and fully 60% of Republicans remain undecided.
Now that’s a volatile […]
November 12, 2007 – 6:21 pm
Last week at Blog World Expo, a fascinating discussion broke out. Jerome Armstrong from MyDD and Markos from DailyKos, among other lefties, argued that Iraq was going to be a driving issue. They, furthermore, argued that success wouldn’t matter, because the failure was the initial decision, and Americans will stop paying attention The righties, Hugh […]
October 31, 2007 – 7:02 am
I normally don’t write about polls, especially ARG polls. But I was struck by two things in the most recent batch.
The first one, which lots of people have talked about is Mitt Romney’s rise in South Carolina. That’s new. Is it real? Is it TV moving numbers?
But the second thing is Fred Thompson. His collapse. […]
October 18, 2007 – 9:37 am
Alan Fram AP’s story about Rudy Giuliani and conservatives fundamentally misses the point. He says, "Giuliani’s Conservative Vote Tenuous." That would be true, if it turned out that his lead in polls was based on the vote of conservatives who don’t know what he thinks on issues. It seems that the important analysis of his […]
October 9, 2007 – 9:21 pm
SurveyUSA says we are winning nearly every matchup. Interesting… Good news.
Tags: New Mexico, Polls, Senate
October 8, 2007 – 12:24 am
Candidate
%
Romney
29
Thompson
18
Huckabee
12
Giuliani
11
McCain
7
I normally don’t like to write on polls, but I think that this one tells us a lot about the future of the GOP race in Iowa. David Yepsen […]
October 8, 2007 – 12:23 am
Candidate
%
Romney
29
Thompson
18
Huckabee
12
Giuliani
11
McCain
7
I normally don’t like to write on polls, but I think that this one tells us a lot about the future of the GOP race in Iowa. David Yepsen […]
My 2008 Ticker
