Author Archives: eye


Romney and Giuliani delegate operations fail in Rhode Island

The Rhode Island Secretary of State just released the list of filed delegates. Delegates then need to get signatures to get on the ballots. But… John McCain and Mike Huckabee filed 40 delegates. Fred Thompson 8. Mitt Romney 7. And Rudy Giuliani 0.
There are two stories here. The first one is that Romney’s delegate operation […]

Turnaround artist didn’t turn around Mass. Job Growth

In March of this year the Boston Globe analyzed Mitt Romney’s economic record in Massachusetts:
On all key labor market measures, the state not only lagged behind the country as a whole, but often ranked at or near the bottom of the state distribution. Formal payroll employment in the state in 2006 was still 16,000 or […]

Steve Forbes, Rudy, Romney, and the economy

(Cross-posted from Redstate)

Two days ago (technical problems delayed this) in Manchester, New Hampshire, I sat down with Steve Forbes, and we talked about his endorsement of Rudy Giuliani, and his thoughts on the economic records of the other candidates. As a supporter of Rudy Giuliani’s he has the most to say about what he likes […]

State of the race

After John McCain’s comeback victory, the game is still on. For each of the candidates:
First, Mitt Romney must win in Michigan or drop out. He is going to have to talk about his business experience because of the weakness of his governing record. The clear rejection of his negative attacks means that he will probably […]

Why was the polling wrong in NH?

Matt Dabrowski, a pollster and a reader, sent in a letter about what happened with the broken polling in New Hampshire
Just yesterday, some major media polls showed Barack Obama with a 10-point lead over Hillary Clinton. But Clinton won the New Hampshire primary by at least 3%. At the same time, John McCain posted […]

What high turnout means: Organization doesn’t matter much

New Hampshire had the potential to be another passion versus organization fight. John McCain has had amazing events overflowing with people. Mitt Romney not so much, with some evidence of Massachusetts astroturf.
The polls seemed to settle on a 3-5 margin for McCain. Normally, I would have added another point or two to Romney’s numbers because […]

Report from the polls

When I pulled into the Hooksett polling place around 6:30 AM, I came into a traffic jam. It was 15 minutes before I could get to a parking spot. Simply put, turnout was huge. The Union-Leader reports massive turnout. The Secretary of State has predicted a 500k turnout, and three or four campaigns are using […]

WSJ’s knife in the heart of Romney’s base

Mitt Romney’s voters are upper-middle class. The kinds of people who read the Wall Street Journal. Today the Journal attempted an assist. On the top of the page was a piece entitled "McCain’s promise" with the pull-quote:
It is cruel to compare the senator to most of his Republican competitors.

The next story on the page was […]

Final NH debate

I think that Mitt Romney and John McCain did fine. Romney did much better than last night. McCain was more low-key and seemed dignified. Once again, Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson played interference.
I really doubt that this moved the ball too much.

Tags: Debate, New Hampshire

Huckabee’s support more than Southern Evangelicals?

(cross-posted from Redstate)
I just finished a Mitt Romney townhall in Nashua, NH. He had around 400 people, according to the campaign. I had just come from a similar event in Windham, just down the road, where Mike Huckabee had over 600. The Huckabee event clearly had more energy than the Romney event.
One of […]