IA GOP: 1/3; IA Dems: 1/5

Marc Ambinder has the story.  It seems to me that there are some real consequences to this.

First, doesn’t an exciting win (say Mike Huckabee or Fred Thompson) or a blowout by Mitt Romney get buzz-killed by the probably-more-interesting Democratic race? Is one real day of news about the GOP race going to be enough?

Second, doesn’t the Dem caucus being on a Saturday fundamentally change who shows up? Doesn’t Barack Obama have a "turn out the kids" strategy on a Saturday afternoon that you just can’t do on a Tuesday night? And isn’t union turnout higher?

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6 Comments

  1. Paul8148
    Posted October 8, 2007 at 3:56 pm | Permalink

    Also Jan 14 was the first day of second semster. On Jan 3 or Jan 5 the students will be all over the state and many out of state the day of the vote. Very hard to orgizane.

  2. Posted October 8, 2007 at 4:29 pm | Permalink

    Paul. Thank you. That’s an excellent point.

  3. neil
    Posted October 8, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    When I was in college I was registered to vote (properly, I think) in the state I lived in when college was out, not the state I went to college in. Maybe this is really uncommon, but if it isn’t, it might mean there are more college caucus-goers.

  4. Posted October 8, 2007 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    Neil,

    His point is that they may not be there. You need to participate in a caucus in the precinct that you are registered to vote in. That’s tough.

    Best,
    Soren

  5. neil
    Posted October 8, 2007 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    Sure, but conversely, if they’re registered at home, they will be able to go to the caucus, whereas they wouldn’t have been able to go in years past, when it would’ve been held while they were away at school. Which is more common?

  6. Posted October 9, 2007 at 11:47 am | Permalink

    Good point. However, these kids are probably organized on the campuses, not at home. Hmmm. Interesting logistical problem.

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