http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/ Covering the 2008 election Fri, 21 Nov 2008 18:32:31 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.5 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35574 Wed, 12 Sep 2007 20:12:32 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35574 [...] 12, 2007 Time is on our side Posted by jason330 under Uncategorized  I don’t know why I sweat the politics thing somuch. It looks like Republicans are mostly* going to die off as a species over the next twenty years. The GOP is getting older. Somewhat dramatically older. This is not good news. (sic) We already know that we are struggling with younger voters. [...] […] 12, 2007 Time is on our side Posted by jason330 under Uncategorized  I don’t know why I sweat the politics thing somuch. It looks like Republicans are mostly* going to die off as a species over the next twenty years. The GOP is getting older. Somewhat dramatically older. This is not good news. (sic) We already know that we are struggling with younger voters. […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35328 Thu, 16 Aug 2007 12:58:09 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35328 [...] I would note, however, that there are fewer economic conservatives in the party than there used to be. [...] […] I would note, however, that there are fewer economic conservatives in the party than there used to be. […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35226 Wed, 08 Aug 2007 13:25:56 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35226 [...] New pro-war voters. Recall from the Elephant in the Mirror that 1/4 of the base is now basically pro-war voters. This would be a clear base for a Rudy Giuliani or John McCain nomination. (in the case of Giuliani, that is a base that could, perhaps, overcome his potential losses, in a primary at least, amongst social conservatives, another important part of the base. More on this later) While this is probably not a complete answer, as long as there is a war on terror — and perhaps diffuse security threats in the context of globalization and various clashes against modernity — this will probably be part of the answer. [...] […] New pro-war voters. Recall from the Elephant in the Mirror that 1/4 of the base is now basically pro-war voters. This would be a clear base for a Rudy Giuliani or John McCain nomination. (in the case of Giuliani, that is a base that could, perhaps, overcome his potential losses, in a primary at least, amongst social conservatives, another important part of the base. More on this later) While this is probably not a complete answer, as long as there is a war on terror — and perhaps diffuse security threats in the context of globalization and various clashes against modernity — this will probably be part of the answer. […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35121 Wed, 25 Jul 2007 14:54:34 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35121 [...] Rudy Giuliani appeals to certain kinds of swing voters, for example many kinds of Reagan Democrats with toughness, soccer/security moms with security and social moderation/tolerance/liberalism, etc. In some ways, in a Republican Party whose base is increasingly focused on security, Rudy Giuliani is a natural candidate of that new part of the coalition. And he is seen as "electable." And, as one Member of Congress who is leaning towards Giuliani put it the other day, "They guy was #3 in the Reagan Justice Department. How much of a squish could be really be?" In some sense, one could argue that Rudy is a transformational candidate for the party. [...] […] Rudy Giuliani appeals to certain kinds of swing voters, for example many kinds of Reagan Democrats with toughness, soccer/security moms with security and social moderation/tolerance/liberalism, etc. In some ways, in a Republican Party whose base is increasingly focused on security, Rudy Giuliani is a natural candidate of that new part of the coalition. And he is seen as "electable." And, as one Member of Congress who is leaning towards Giuliani put it the other day, "They guy was #3 in the Reagan Justice Department. How much of a squish could be really be?" In some sense, one could argue that Rudy is a transformational candidate for the party. […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35022 Sun, 01 Jul 2007 15:24:20 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35022 [...] Item 2: The Republicans are getting older, and the small-government, anti-tax wing is shrinking fast. (On the other hand, conservatives who want authoritarian government for social and/or terror reasons appear to be on the rise…) [...] […] Item 2: The Republicans are getting older, and the small-government, anti-tax wing is shrinking fast. (On the other hand, conservatives who want authoritarian government for social and/or terror reasons appear to be on the rise…) […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35021 Sat, 30 Jun 2007 19:57:25 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35021 [...] A new survey by Fabrizio McLaughlin validates these fears with several lumps of coal for both fiscal AND social conservatives. Those of us who fall into one category but not the other, such as yours truly, can take this as an opportunity to share a moment of gloom and doom with one another. First, for my fellow fi-cons, Soren Dayton has the bad news. To sum up: [...] […] A new survey by Fabrizio McLaughlin validates these fears with several lumps of coal for both fiscal AND social conservatives. Those of us who fall into one category but not the other, such as yours truly, can take this as an opportunity to share a moment of gloom and doom with one another. First, for my fellow fi-cons, Soren Dayton has the bad news. To sum up: […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35017 Fri, 29 Jun 2007 14:31:57 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35017 [...] eyeon08.com » Elephant in the mirror Are you a “Dennis Miller” Republican, or more of a “Buchananite”? (tags: polls demographics gop Republicans) [?] Share This [...] […] eyeon08.com » Elephant in the mirror Are you a “Dennis Miller” Republican, or more of a “Buchananite”? (tags: polls demographics gop Republicans) [?] Share This […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35016 Fri, 29 Jun 2007 12:24:15 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35016 [...] eyeon08.com » Elephant in the mirror (tags: polls demographics gop) [...] […] eyeon08.com » Elephant in the mirror (tags: polls demographics gop) […]

]]> http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35015 Fri, 29 Jun 2007 11:28:05 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/28/elephant-in-the-mirror/#comment-35015 [...] eyeon08.com » Elephant in the mirror Analyzing a poll, with an eye on the GOP’s future. (tags: polls demographics gop Republicans) [...] […] eyeon08.com » Elephant in the mirror Analyzing a poll, with an eye on the GOP’s future. (tags: polls demographics gop Republicans) […]

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